However, it not that crazy to think you only going to be the third or fourth best player there. And if the best players are still in at the end, the chance for the 10th best player to win is not 10%.The better player will win in the end most of the time. But upsets will happen because math.
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It not quite a wash: the employee lost out on the difference in salary for those 6 months in addition to potentially paying the cost for these extra certifications (if your employer doesn reimburse for that). When they took on the position, I doubt the salary accounted for their increased skill set. Additionally, it possible that they got additional responsibilities for their troubles, as well..
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